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Sources & Data Policy

An encyclopedia you can argue with has to show where its numbers come from. This page lists every source behind the timeline and the population data, how we weight them when they disagree, and the pipeline that keeps them fresh.

Data vintage

Timeline

2026-08-27

Compiled from 3 timeline sources

Demographics

2026-08-27

Denominator: 2020 world population

Policy

v1.0

Registry updated 2026-08-28

How we weight disagreement

  1. 1 · Show everything. Population figures differ by hundreds of millions depending on whether a source counts self-identification, formal membership, or estimated practice. We publish every major estimate side by side rather than laundering one into "the" number.
  2. 2 · Lead with the most recent census-grade figure. Our preferred number leans on the newest survey-and-census based dataset (currently Pew's 2020 landscape), cross-checked against the encyclopedic references.
  3. 3 · Note the fight. Where our references (Grokipedia, Wikipedia, Britannica) disagree with each other on dates or counts, the entry carries a note instead of a silent choice.

The monthly refresh

On the first of every month an automated job re-fetches the stable machine-readable feeds — Our World in Data's Pew mirror, World Bank population, the Wikidata member-count query, Wikipedia's timeline and population pages (with revision ids), and the CIA Factbook mirror. Every fetch is validated before it can touch the site: schema checks, sanity bounds (world population 7–9 billion, no share above 100%), and a drift threshold against the previous snapshot. A failed check keeps the old data and files an issue instead of breaking the site. Changes never deploy silently — the job opens a pull request with a human-readable diff, and only a human merge publishes it. Paywalled and AI-generated references (Pew's own portal, WRD, Britannica, Grokipedia) are re-reviewed by hand on the same cycle.

Fetched automatically · monthly

  • · Our World in Data — Religious Composition
  • · World Bank Open Data (population)
  • · Wikidata SPARQL
  • · Wikipedia
  • · CIA World Factbook

Reviewed by hand

  • · Grokipedia
  • · Pew Global Religious Landscape (2010–2020)
  • · britannica
  • · World Religion Database
  • · ARDA — World Religion Project
  • · ReligionFacts — Big Religion Chart

Primary sources

Pew Research Center, Religion & Public Life

Gold-standard country-level estimates for 201 countries — adherents and shares for Christians, Muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, Jews, other religions and the unaffiliated, for 2010 and 2020, built from 2,700+ censuses and surveys. Separate 2015 projections to 2050.

Used for
Primary population figures — our preferred estimates lead with Pew 2020.
Access
CSV dataset behind a free Pew account; the same data is republished machine-readably by Our World in Data, which is our automated path.
Updates
Landscape studies roughly every decade; topical reports every few years.
Reliability
The most widely cited, methodologically transparent global source. Counts self-identification, which runs lower than affiliation-based databases for some groups.

Global Change Data Lab

Pew's 2010/2020 religious-composition estimates re-published as clean, no-login CSV/JSON with ISO country codes, backed by a versioned open ETL on GitHub.

Used for
The automated pipeline's primary demographics feed.
Access
Stable no-auth endpoints — append .csv or .metadata.json to the grapher URL. This is what our monthly job actually fetches.
Updates
Updated when Pew publishes; endpoint stable and safe to poll monthly.
Reliability
Best machine-readable proxy for Pew data. Endpoint verified live before each refresh.

xAI

AI-generated encyclopedia (6M+ articles) including a detailed Timeline of Religion and per-religion articles. One of the two reference works our history timeline is cross-referenced against, and the tie-breaker where references disagree.

Used for
Timeline events and encyclopedic detail; date tie-breaker per site policy.
Access
No official API (JS-rendered pages only) — reviewed by hand each refresh cycle; never auto-fetched.
Updates
Irregular AI regeneration, no public changelog.
Reliability
AI-generated content without revision history — rich in detail but not independently citable, so every Grokipedia-attested claim is marked and cross-checked against Wikipedia and academic dating.

Wikipedia

primaryapi

Wikimedia Foundation

Timeline of Religion, History of Religion, Major Religious Groups and List of Religious Populations articles, fetched programmatically with revision ids via the MediaWiki API.

Used for
Timeline events, population tables, cross-referencing.
Access
MediaWiki Action API (action=parse) and REST API — no auth; every fetch records the revision id shown here after each refresh.
Updates
Continuous, crowd-edited; we snapshot monthly and diff.
Reliability
Crowd-maintained: tables cite Pew/WRD/CIA but can churn. All Wikipedia-derived diffs land in a human-reviewed pull request, never auto-merge.

Secondary sources

Nilesh Nilkanth Oak (self-published research; nileshoak.com)

Day-precise absolute datings of the Ramayana (c. 12240–12208 BCE) and Mahabharata (war 16 October – 2 November 5561 BCE) derived from the epics' own astronomical references — the Arundhati–Vasistha observation, precessed season-month statements, pole-star and nakshatra positions. Powers the plotted Oak chronology inside the Hindu Mythic Timeline.

Used for
The Oak chronology track on the Hindu Mythic Timeline only — never for the main historical timeline.
Access
Compiled by hand from his books (When Did the Mahabharata War Happen?, 2011; The Historic Rama, 2014; Bhishma Nirvana, 2019), his published timeline summaries, and lecture records.
Updates
New books/lectures occasionally; positions stable.
Reliability
A contested research program, not scholarly consensus: mainstream indology treats the epics' astronomy as non-datable poetic material, and other traditional daters (3139 BCE Puranic, 3067 BCE planetarium school) reject his dates. Presented on the site as his claims, plotted alongside the rival dates.

Encyclopædia Britannica

Editorially reviewed population figures per religion, largely drawing on the World Religion Database tradition of counting.

Used for
Cross-checking population estimates.
Access
Manual review each refresh cycle.
Updates
Irregular editorial updates.
Reliability
Professionally edited; tends toward affiliation-based (higher) counts than Pew for some groups — a useful upper-bound cross-check.

Brill / Boston University CGC (Johnson & Zurlo)

The most granular academic dataset — every religion, every country, 1900–2050, with thousands of Christian denominations. Paywalled; we cite figures republished in Wikipedia, Britannica and the free annual Status of Global Christianity table.

Used for
Cross-checking, denominational branch figures.
Access
Paid institutional subscription — cited only, never scraped.
Updates
Annual reconciliation.
Reliability
Academically respected; counts affiliation rather than self-identification, so its totals run higher than Pew's for some groups. We show both rather than picking.

Association of Religion Data Archives / Penn State

Free downloadable historical series: adherent counts by religion per state, 1945–2010 in five-year intervals — historical depth Pew doesn't cover.

Used for
Historical population series for the timeline.
Access
Free CSV downloads behind an interactive terms flow; the series is static, so it's vendored once rather than refetched.
Updates
Static historical dataset (ends 2010).
Reliability
Excellent for 20th-century trends; not a source for current-year figures.

Cross-checks & denominators

ReligionFacts.com

Comparative at-a-glance chart of beliefs, practices, texts, deities, afterlife views and worship across dozens of traditions — the template for our Big Chart's qualitative dimensions (its adherent-count cells are empty in the served page, so counts come from elsewhere).

Used for
Qualitative comparative dimensions on the Big Chart.
Access
Manual review.
Updates
Infrequent.
Reliability
Tertiary reference without published methodology — its comparative dimensions are cross-checked against Grokipedia and Wikipedia before use; never a figure of record.

Wikidata SPARQL

cross-checkapi

Wikimedia Foundation

Structured facts per religion entity — member counts (property P2124), inception dates, founders. Queried monthly as a drift detector against our committed figures.

Used for
Cross-check and entity metadata.
Access
SPARQL endpoint, no auth. Verified query returns Christianity 2.4B, Hinduism 1.2B, Buddhism 520M — but coverage is patchy (Islam lacks a member-count statement), so it can only ever be a cross-check.
Updates
Continuous, crowd-edited.
Reliability
Incomplete and uneven for adherent counts; strong for entity metadata like founding dates and relationships.

CIA (factbook.json mirror)

Per-country religion percentage breakdowns with estimate years, as public-domain JSON.

Used for
Per-country cross-checks.
Access
Raw GitHub JSON per country, no auth — fetched monthly for country-level cross-checks.
Updates
CIA updates rolling-weekly; mirror regenerated periodically (we record the mirrored commit).
Reliability
Broad coverage but heterogeneous estimate years and free-text categories — good per-country sanity check, unsuitable for global aggregation.

World Bank

Total population per country and for the world, per year — the denominator under every percentage on the site.

Used for
Population denominators.
Access
No-auth JSON API, fetched monthly; every response exposes a lastupdated stamp we record.
Updates
Refreshed several times a year.
Reliability
The most robust no-auth denominator endpoint; sourced largely from UN World Population Prospects.

UN DESA, Population Division

The canonical demographic denominators — historical population and projections for every country and the world.

Used for
Population denominators.
Access
REST JSON Data Portal API (occasionally token-gated, so the pipeline falls back to the World Bank mirror of the same series).
Updates
Revised roughly every two years.
Reliability
Authoritative but API access intermittently changes; used to validate the World Bank numbers.

Population Connection

Educational summary of world religious composition, itself derived from Pew figures.

Used for
Cross-checking presentation of headline figures.
Access
Manual review.
Updates
Occasional.
Reliability
Derivative of Pew — useful only to confirm how the headline figures are commonly presented.

Spot an error or a fresher dataset? The numbers live in versioned JSON — every change is a reviewable diff. Argue with us: @beliefpedia.